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The Deipnosophist

Where the science of investing becomes an art of living

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Location: Summerlin, Nevada, United States

A private investor for 20+ years, I manage private portfolios and write about investing. You can read my market musings on three different sites: 1) The Deipnosophist, dedicated to teaching the market's processes and mechanics; 2) Investment Poetry, a subscription site dedicated to real time investment recommendations; and 3) Seeking Alpha, a combination of the other two sites with a mix of reprints from this site and all-original content. See you here, there, or the other site!

04 December 2006

Isis Pharmaceuticals/ISIS

And suddenly the playing field changes.

The news that Pfizer/PFE will halt immediately further clinical trials of its new Lipitor-combo drug, Torceptrapib, ushers in with it a sudden change of dynamics. It becomes very likely that Pfizer/PFE will attempt to strengthen its stranglehold on the statin market by purchasing another company rather than continue its attempt to grow 'organically' the new drug.

An earlier recommendation, Isis Pharmaceuticals/ISIS, is quite likely a (perhaps even, the) beneficiary of Pfizer's sudden largesse.

[click on image to enlarge]

"Isis Pharmaceuticals is a biopharmaceutical company exploiting ribonucleic acid (RNA)-based drug discovery technologies to identify and commercialize novel drugs to treat diseases. The Company, with its primary technology, antisense, creates inhibitors, called oligonucleotides, designed to hybridize, with a high-degree of specificity to their RNA target and modulate the production of specific proteins associated with disease. In its Ibis division, Isis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. has developed a system, called triangulation identification for genetic evaluation of risks (TIGER) that can, with a single test, simultaneously identify from a sample a range of infectious organisms without needing to know beforehand what might be present in the sample."

I included some rationale for owning ISIS shares in the Entelechy post, and mentioned then that $10 represents an optimal purchase point for this stock; recent action had affirmed that notion and today's gap higher on the opening reifies it. (See arrows on chart above.) I remain convinced these shares will soon trade higher, much higher. Certainly, Wall Street begins to take notice. In pre-open trading, Pfizer/PFE shares are bid down ~15% whereas ISIS shares are bid higher by ~10%. And the chart tilts toward the right side of the chart -- the appropriate side, the upside.

-- David M Gordon / The Deipnosophist

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