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The Deipnosophist

Where the science of investing becomes an art of living

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Location: Summerlin, Nevada, United States

A private investor for 20+ years, I manage private portfolios and write about investing. You can read my market musings on three different sites: 1) The Deipnosophist, dedicated to teaching the market's processes and mechanics; 2) Investment Poetry, a subscription site dedicated to real time investment recommendations; and 3) Seeking Alpha, a combination of the other two sites with a mix of reprints from this site and all-original content. See you here, there, or the other site!

21 July 2006

Dumb Mistakes: Everyone Makes Them

The commentary that follows is by Michael Shropshire, creator of the excellent website, InnerWorth.
-- David M Gordon / The Deipnosophist
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When your money is on the line, you don't ever want to make a trading mistake. There are times when even a minor mistake can cost you big, but mistakes do happen. Have you ever spent a few days mapping out a trading plan, patiently waiting for the right market conditions, and then blowing the whole thing by making a dumb mistake? Perhaps you were distracted and forgot to close the position at your predetermined exit point. Or maybe you walked away from your screen to pick up the kids and came back to see your profits vanish. The possibilities are endless. What do you do? Kick yourself for making the mistake? Well, it's understandable if you do so, but should you waste your time? You may end up feeling even worse and making even more mistakes. What good did feeling bad about a mistake do then? We are all human, and humans make mistakes, and at times, the mistakes are really dumb. Money is lost for no good reason than shear carelessness. It's tempting to feel extreme guilt or to wallow in self-pity, but it does no good.

Ideally, it would be wonderful if we never made a trading mistake. Think about how great it would be if we never made a wrong calculation. If we had a perfect memory or unfailing concentration, we would make few trading errors. Why not try to be thoroughly competent in all we do? We pay a price for trying to achieve superhuman perfection. If we believe that we must be perfect, we will expend all our precious psychological energy mulling over the negative consequences of failing, rather than focusing on what we are doing in the here-and-now to implement our current trading plan. Traders who believe they must be thoroughly competent spend all their time worrying about what they did wrong, what may go wrong, and how they will recover should they fail. These thoughts are distracting and obscure the flow of immediate experience, and the ability to read current market activity with unfailing accuracy. In other words, by kicking yourself for not being perfect, you feel bad about yourself and make even more mistakes.

A more adaptive approach is to realize that it's impossible as a trader to be thoroughly competent, adequate, and achieving all the time. Certainly, you should develop an extremely detailed trading plan and try to account for all adverse events that may go against your plan, but there are limits to what you can do. For your long term enduring success, it is vital that you learn to ease up. You don't have to be perfect. You are bound to make mistakes occasionally, and if you are consumed with avoiding them, you'll be so anxious and fearful that you will make even more mistakes. Besides extreme perfection doesn't always pay off in the trading business. Trading isn't exactly a science. Even when you think a trading plan through carefully, you can't account for every possibility. An unexpected event may ruin your plan and there is nothing you could have done about it, but manage your risk and chalk up it to fate. Sure, you don't want to make too many mistakes, but you can make a few occasionally with little repercussions. Striving for perfectionism is an important ideal to hold, but don't forget that it is just an ideal. You might try to reach for it, but don't beat yourself up when you don't get there. Mistakes happen. Let it go. You'll feel better and take home more profits.

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